Politics

Washington is spending $44B on farmers and none of it is for new ones

Chase Purdy · 6 min read · Apr 13, 2026
Washington is spending $44B on farmers and none of it is for new ones

On March 23, the US Department of Agriculture sent termination notices to 49 of 50 organizations running something called the Increasing Land, Capital, and Market Access Program. That’s ILCMA, if you love acronyms. The notices came with a two-day warning. The program, backed by $300 million in federal contracts, was an initiative the government designed specifically to help the next generation of farmers buy into the land. That’s now over.

Three days later, the USDA announced it would pay $44.3 billion directly to American farmers in 2026.

Hold on to both those numbers.

To be clear, the $44.3 billion isn’t a handout as much as it’s a structural policy feature that can start to sound a bit like a cushy layer cake. Farm Bill commodity programs trigger when crop prices fall. Disaster payments layer on top. Federal crop insurance layers on top of that. As it stands right now, net farm income, which is the broadest measure of what farming actually earns, would drop by about 12% this year without any government support, and for the fourth straight year. In other words, the check is doing what the market won’t. In the end, the USDA projects payments are estimated to account for almost 29% of producers’ total income in 2026. The math doesn’t work.

But here’s the rub. That $44.3 billion is designed to flow to whoever was already farming, and it’s allocated proportional to acreage and production history. It contains no mechanism for new farmer entry, and it does not distinguish between a family surviving its fourth consecutive bad year and a corporate operation optimizing its tax exposure. The $44.3 billion is a maintenance program. And it’s really good at maintaining the folks already in the business.

American agriculture has been consolidating for decades. Average farm size keeps climbing as smaller operations fold and their acreage absorbs into larger ones. Farm sector debt could reach a record $624.7 billion in 2026. Chapter 12 bankruptcies are up 46% over 2024. The operations going under aren’t the ones collecting the largest government checks. They are, overwhelmingly, the smallest producers with the thinnest margins and the least history with the Farm Service Agency.

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Fewer farms, bigger farms
Percent change in U.S. farm count and average farm size since 1970
Number of farms
Avg. farm size (acres)
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 +50% +40% +30% +20% +10% 0% −10% −20% −30% −40% −50% 0% Change since 1970 −36% +25%
Farm count, 2024 1.88 million — down 36% from 2.95 million in 1970
Avg. farm size, 2024 466 acres — up 25% from 374 acres in 1970
Gov’t payments, 2026 (forecast) $44.3B — nearly 29% of total producer income
Chapter 12 bankruptcies Up 46% in 2025 vs. 2024 — a third straight annual increase
Source: USDA Census of Agriculture (conducted every five years); 2024 figure from USDA Economic Research Service annual survey. Farm payments and bankruptcy data: USDA ERS, American Farm Bureau Federation.

When a small farm exits, the land generally doesn’t leave agriculture. Rather, it gets absorbed by whoever has more acreage, more credit, more of a relationship with the local FSA office. The consolidation is orderly. Nobody officially asks who farms it next, because the answer is always whoever could already afford to ask.

That’s where the ILCMA was supposed to fit. Launched during the previous administration as part of the Inflation Reduction Act and American Rescue Plan funding, it paid fifty organizations — tribal governments, farmer associations, universities, land trusts — to build on-ramps into agriculture. That showed up as down payment assistance, low-interest loans, business planning, technical support, among other things. The targets were young farmers and underserved producers trying to get past the first wall, which is land. In Iowa, in the Southeast, in the plains, in places where farmland prices have nearly doubled over a decade, the program was cutting keys.

In Iowa specifically, six farmers were waiting on down payment assistance to close on small farms. Their deals are now in limbo.

The termination letters cited excessive spending on “outreach and technical assistance” and said the awards hadn’t improved land access. The National Young Farmers Coalition has spent a decade advocating for the program before helping design it, and it noted that USDA had spent the preceding year freezing funds and withholding approvals, then used the resulting lack of progress as justification for cancellation. In other words, the group is claiming that the administration walked the program to the edge of a cliff, then cited its failure to jump as cause for pushing it over the edge.

The thing is, in the grand scheme, stories like this really matter.

The ILCMA was, imperfectly and in small numbers, trying to interrupt that logic. It cost $300 million — less than 1% of what the government will send to established producers this year.

The termination letter called it excessive.

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